Idaho State Forecasting: July 31, 2021

The Idaho State Forecast is a compartmental susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered (SEIR) model, commonly used in modeling the seasonal flu. The model uses a differential equations framework to predict the number of COVID-19 hospitalizations as a function of time, estimating the number of COVID-19 positive individuals in the hospital on a given date. To read about how this model was constructed, see our methodology. Interested in the daily model data results? You can access using this link.

 

 

CURRENT FORECAST MODEL RESULTS: July 31, 2021



Hospitalizations

Figure 1 shows the current prediction, represented by the solid black line, of hospitalizations for the entire state of Idaho. For ease of viewing, these figures only show the predicted COVID-19 hospitalizations.

Figure 2 shows the prediction, represented by the solid black line, of hospitalizations, but broken out by public health district. For ease of viewing, these figures only show the predicted COVID-19 hospitalizations.


ICU Beds

Figure 3 shows the current prediction, represented by the solid black line, of filled ICU beds for the entire state of Idaho.
Figure 4 shows the prediction, represented by the solid black line, of the ICU model data, but broken out by public health district. For ease of viewing, these figures only show the predicted COVID-19 occupied ICU beds.