The Idaho State Forecast is a compartmental susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered (SEIR) model, commonly used in modeling the seasonal flu. The model uses a differential equations framework to predict the number of COVID-19 hospitalizations as a function of time, estimating the number of COVID-19 positive individuals in the hospital on a given date. To read about how this model was constructed, see our methodology. Interested in the daily model data results? You can access using this link.
CURRENT FORECAST MODEL RESULTS: September 16, 2021